Does sending email more often mean more profit?

Latest posts | Feed | By Mark Brownlow on October 03, 2007

dollarsKevin Hillstrom's concerned that focusing on ROI as a measure of success can lead you to make poor email judgments.

His latest take on this issue demonstrates how spending money on various email marketing tactics might see overall ROI from your email campaigns drop, but overall profits RISE.

One of those tactics is increasing mailing frequency. Common wisdom says you make more money as you up the frequency, until you reach a saturation point.

At that point, further increases in how often you send out email actually lower your profits, as ever more people opt-out (or tune out) of your email program.

I love Kevin's work and wish more email folk would take up his challenges. (Like Stephanie Miller, who suggests marketers be more circumspect about email ROI in this excellent blog post, which also examines the frequency issue).

Let me add some points to Kevin's and Stephanie's arguments about the value of investing in more emails...

1. Measuring the impact of frequency changes needs to take a long-term view. I can imagine an initial boost in sales which might not be sustainable over successive weeks and months.

If that's the case, then the frequency that produces the most profit will change over time. The "saturation point" will shift towards less frequent emails and you may find yourself eventually losing more than you gain if you stick to the "winning frequency" based on early results.

Very clever marketers will adjust frequency on a recipient-by-recipient basis to match their buying patterns. Something we do intuitively when we ramp up email frequency during the pre-Christmas shopping season, and then ramp it down again at quieter times of the year.

2. If the value of spending extra cash to send out more frequent emails is established, you still need to compare that value with other ways of using that cash. It may make more sense to invest the money in other marketing channels.

3. The effects of more frequent emails are not just on profits. It also changes the "email experience" and the perception of your brand. Not quite sure how (!), but it needs thinking about.

For example, Kevin himself has discussed the conflict between your subscribers' self-declared frequency preferences (as expressed in surveys or in sign-up forms) and the frequency that makes you the most money.

4. Today, I think the frequency versus profit curve looks like this:

email frequency graph

This is because at some point, you irritate enough folk that the number of spam complaints passes a magic number which gets you onto one or more blocklists used by one or more ISPs or webmail services.

The result: a sudden drop in your ability to get emails through to recipients.

This is why increases in frequency have to be handled carefully.

OK, much of that is just my theory. So anybody with some numbers like to come and comment?

Related article: Calculating the cost of increased email frequency

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4 Comments:

Excellent points Mark!

Ideally, as you mentioned, the best frequency would be dynamically determined based on subscribers preferences/buying patterns, etc.
Unfortunately this isn't easily managed for many email marketers.

I would suggest determining a frequency which is more aligned with what your subscribers want, and possibly increasing at strategic times (for holidays, best times of year etc.)
By Blogger Kelly Rusk, on 03 October, 2007  
 

Mark,

Great post! And thanks for mentioning Stephanie Miller. Another one of our email experts, Margaret Farmakis, wrote a related post this week about how gains can be realized by cutting inactive addresses from your list: http://www.returnpath.biz/resources/archives/2007/10/email_list_size.php

I also wanted to be sure you have our study on reputation metrics and how they affect deliverability. This one clear negative consequence of any change to your practices that upsets your subscribers. http://www.returnpath.biz/pdf/ResenderStudy_101206.pdf

Thanks,
Tami M. Forman
Director, Marketing
Return Path
By Anonymous Tami Forman, on 04 October, 2007  
 

Really like this post Mark. Great work. I think that that curve helps to show how it works. There is a point when too much causes lose of sales and higher unsubscribe rates. We tested a 12 day campaign (Dell is running a 10 day one now) and saw the drop off rate after 7 days of people actually interacting with it on the levels that they started out at. It is a challenge to find that sweet spot in frequency.

Dylan Boyd
VP Sales and Strategy, eROI.com
By Anonymous Dylan Boyd, on 04 October, 2007  
 

Thanks for all the comments. Perhaps we're in a two tier situation here again. Those with less resources should keep it simple like Kelly suggests. And those with deeper pockets and bigger lists do careful testing to find the magic optimum, like Dylan.
By Blogger Mark Brownlow - Email Marketing Reports, on 04 October, 2007  
 

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